Written by Glenn | 24 March 2011

The stats for the championship matches in the Box Hill Time Out ranbats series look more like my own stats. They're not great. Yes, there is statistically a drop in offensive performance when it comes to non-Top 8, full Top 8 and finals matches. Players tend to be more conservative, and the endings are a coin-flip.

But I didn't expect this.

I created a dedicated page for the tournament series on the Fighting Game Stats database. In compiling the finals averages, this is what came up:

• First-hit win percentage: .541
• First-combo win percentage: .520
• EX connection percentage: .301
• EX usage: .734
• The closeout rate has been .800

You can flip the closeout rate and say that the comeback rate is .200, which is above average, but not by that much (about 10 points). All of these stats I posted are well below what they normally are in any other realm.

Before you say that this is because they play one game matches; three of the four finals have been two games, so essentially they're playing just as much as a normal finals. Having a third round to win does not change things either.

Maybe things change tonight in the next tournament (or yesterday, depending on where you are). But it's going to take a lot to bump the numbers back up to average.