logo
Joshua "Wolfkrone" Philpot has won three of the six tournaments in the Evolution 2011 tournament season, and there probably isn't any argument that at this rate, he will be the top-seeded North American player going into the World Finals in July.

In top fours of these Evolution 2011 seeding events, he's 8-2, nobody has matched him in win total. In looking at what he's done while in the top four of those tournaments, there's a few categories that stand out. Some are not as visible as the others, but they're there. It's all a matter of trying to break through to break down Wolfkrone.

And doesn't that seem to be his M.O.? He out-works them at one point or another, and then his opponent has to figure out a way to match. Let's look at what he's done in the three tournaments he's won (Evolution Online 1, Winter Brawl 5, PowerUp 2011).

You can't rely on Wolfkrone to get the first hit, but if he does get it, he's a good bet to win the match. And his defense if he doesn't get the first hit is astounding. His situation is even better when getting the first combo. Look at these numbers:

Wolfkrone Opponents
First-hit wins 25/33 (.758) 13/41 (.317)
First-combo wins 31/38 (.816) 13/33 (.394)

Wolfkrone doesn't get the first hit even half the time, and he barely gets the first combo half the time. But he cashes in. More importantly, he makes his opponents' first-hits or first-combos just about irrelevant. On Sunday, Eduardo "PR Balrog" Perez was 2 for 6 in first-hit wins and 1 for 4 in first-combo wins against Wolfkrone. None of those won a game for PR Balrog, which meant that Wolfkrone had time to adjust and tilt the match back in his favor.

The other stat where Wolfkrone has dominated has been EX usage. It might not look that way, considering the tournament average is .433. This is what it looks like, percentage-wise:

Wolfkrone Opponents
EX connection pct.
.413 .410
EX damage pct
(blocked or connected)
.676 .571

So as you can see, he doesn't hit the median. Thank goodness his opponents don't either or else this commentary probably wouldn't be written because he wouldn't be sniffing the title matches. And don't take that EX damage percentage too big because most of the advantage Wolfkrone has had over his opponents came in blocked moves.

Now you're probably wondering why I said Wolfkrone has dominated in EX usage. Let's look at this again.


Wolfkrone Opponents
EX connections
66/160 43/105
EX blocked
42/160 18/105

Wolfkrone has gotten EX damage in 108 of 160 attempts. His opponents by the same comparison are only 61 of 105 attempts. That's a big difference. Wolfkrone has only had 22 more EX meters to work with (237 to 215) but has decided to not hold onto them in hopes of a big payoff. And that's where he's gotten an edge on his opponents. He's used 55 more EX meters than his opponents. Yes, 55! He's using almost 1 EX meter more per round than his opponent, an extra opportunity to get damage in.

If Wolfkrone can keep this going, he will be a tough guy to stop at the Rio come World Finals time.